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Foundation · Module F3

How Gold is Priced

There is no single gold price. There are several — and every one of them traces back to the same vault.

What you'll learn

  • Why gold has several official prices, not one
  • How the LBMA Gold Price is set, twice a day in London
  • The relationship between spot gold and COMEX futures
  • How your XAU/USD quote — or your GC tick — actually gets made

Where prices come from

There is no single gold price.

Most retail traders look at a chart and assume "the gold price" is one number.

It isn't. The chart on your platform is one of several related prices, all moving together but set in different places, by different mechanisms, for different purposes. Knowing which one you're looking at — and how it gets made — is the difference between knowing your market and just watching a line.

The price tree

Every gold price traces back to a vault

The gold market sits in three layers. At the bottom, physical metal — the thing F1 was about. In the middle, the institutional infrastructure that prices it. At the top, the retail-accessible quotes that everyone with a trading platform watches.

What you trade

XAU/USD on MT4 · GC tick on NinjaTrader · GLD share · Dealer coin price

Retail-accessible — derived from the layer below

Derived from

Where prices are made

LBMA Gold Price auction · COMEX gold futures · Spot OTC interbank market · Bullion bank market-making · ETF physical holdings

Institutional infrastructure — discovers and benchmarks the price

Anchored to

What it's tied to

Miners · Refiners · LBMA-approved vaults · Jewellery and industrial demand · Central bank reserves

The 995 Good Delivery bar — what F1 was about

Prices flow upward. The retail layer derives from the institutional layer, which discovers prices for the physical layer underneath. Every XAU/USD tick on your broker, every GC tick on the exchange, every GLD share price, every dealer coin quote — they all originate in that middle gold band. And the gold band is making markets in the dark band at the bottom.

The rest of this module walks through what each layer actually is — starting with the most important price in the gold market that most retail traders have never heard of.

The benchmark

The most important price you've never heard of

Twice a day in London — 10:30am and 3:00pm local time — a group of around sixteen LBMA-accredited bullion banks and market participants gather electronically to set the LBMA Gold Price.

This is the institutional benchmark. It's not the most-traded gold price — COMEX futures hold that title by volume — but it's the most institutionally trusted reference. Central bank trades, mining contracts, jewellery industry settlements, ETF redemptions: when these mention "the gold price," they almost always mean this one.

The current system replaced the century-old London Gold Fix on 20 March 2015. The old process was a twice-daily phone call between five bullion banks — and after the FCA fined Barclays £26 million in 2014 for a trader who manipulated the 3:00pm fix to dodge a client payout, and class-action settlements against the Fix banks eventually totalled $152 million, the LBMA moved the benchmark onto an electronic, auditable platform. ICE Benchmark Administration now runs the auction on the LBMA's behalf.

LBMA Gold Price — at a glance

Set Twice daily, 10:30am and 3:00pm London time
Mechanism Electronic auction operated by ICE Benchmark Administration
Participants Around sixteen accredited bullion banks and market participants
Purpose Settlement benchmark for institutional contracts globally

The live tick

The price most retail traders are actually watching

Whenever you see "gold" ticking on TradingView, MT4, or NinjaTrader, you are — almost always — looking at the COMEX front-month gold futures price, or a feed derived from it.

The CME Group's COMEX exchange lists gold futures that trade nearly 23 hours a day. The "front-month" contract — the nearest-to-expiry contract with the most volume — is the live tick most retail charting platforms display. Settlement is determined by CME at the close of each session.

This is the price your GC and MGC trades settle against. It's also where the bulk of speculative gold flow lives — hedge funds, CTAs, and managed money trade COMEX gold futures in size every day.

COMEX futures and the LBMA Gold Price are two views of the same market. COMEX is the live, intraday, speculative tick. LBMA is the daily institutional benchmark. They track each other closely — kept in line by arbitrage — but they're different prices, set by different mechanisms, for different audiences.

Two prices, one market

The relationship between spot gold and futures

"Spot gold" is the price for immediate physical settlement. "Gold futures" is the price for settlement at a future date. They're different numbers.

In gold, futures normally trade slightly above spot. The difference is called the basis, and it reflects the cost of holding gold versus holding cash — primarily interest rates and storage costs. When futures are higher than spot, the market is in contango. When futures are lower than spot — rare in gold — it's called backwardation, and it usually signals stress in physical supply.

Bullion banks arbitrage the relationship constantly through the EFP (Exchange For Physical) market, which lets institutions swap spot positions for futures positions and vice versa. This arbitrage is what keeps the two prices locked in step.

For a retail trader: XAU/USD spot and front-month GC/MGC futures move together nearly tick for tick. The absolute price levels differ by the basis, but the direction and magnitude of moves is essentially the same. If you're trading one, you're effectively trading the other.

The last mile

How your XAU/USD quote actually gets made

Walking the chain backwards from your screen:

Your broker shows you XAU/USD on MetaTrader. That quote came from your broker's liquidity provider — usually a Tier 1 bank or a wholesale aggregator. The liquidity provider takes the spot OTC interbank price — which itself is anchored to the LBMA Gold Price and the COMEX futures market — and provides a wholesale stream to brokers. Your broker takes that wholesale stream, adds a spread, and displays it to you.

Your broker's XAU/USD spread typically runs 0.20 to 0.50 USD per ounce, though the range is wide — ECN-style accounts can be under 0.10, while higher-markup brokers run above 1.00 USD. That spread is the wholesale price plus the markup your broker chooses to apply. There is no single "true" retail XAU/USD price — every broker is quoting you a marked-up version of the wholesale tick, and the markups differ.

GC on the futures side works differently. NinjaTrader, Tradovate, or any other futures broker shows you the live COMEX exchange price directly — there's no markup on the price itself. You pay a commission per contract, but the price ticking on your screen is the actual exchange tick. That's why futures spreads are tighter and pricing is more transparent than CFDs.

Why this matters

The price you trade is never the wholesale price. There is always a cost between you and the market — sometimes as a spread, sometimes as a commission, sometimes as both. On XAU/USD via a CFD broker, the cost is mostly embedded in the spread. On GC via a futures broker, it's a transparent commission per contract on top of the exchange tick. How brokers actually make money on retail flow — and why some advertise spreads tighter than their own wholesale cost — is a bigger story than the spread alone. F5 picks this up.

Carry this into F4

  • Gold has several official prices — the LBMA Gold Price, COMEX futures, the spot OTC price — all moving together, but set in different places and serving different purposes
  • The LBMA auction is the institutional benchmark; COMEX futures is the live tick; your retail quote is derived from one of these and marked up by your broker
  • Every retail price is a derived quote — there's always a spread between you and the wholesale market, and that spread is the cost of trading

Next module

F4 — What Drives the Price

The forces that move gold — interest rates, the US dollar, central banks, and risk sentiment.

Continue →